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Counting
IMS elections by single transferable vote
by
Bernard Silverman
By
a resolution of the Council in August 2002, the elections
for Council are counted by the Single Transferable Vote system.
One of the properties of this system is that if any group
of candidates gets a sufficient share of the votes (1/(m+1),
where m is the number of candidates to be elected)
then one of this group is bound to be elected. Therefore it
is hoped that this method will lead to a more diverse Council
than the result of the present election, and furthermore that
individual members, other than those chosen by the nominating
committee, will feel able to stand with a real chance of being
elected.
There are many descriptions of the STV system (see, for example,
www.votingsolutions.com)
but the basic principle is that voters rank the candidates
in order of preference. In order to be elected a candidate
must achieve the quota of N/(m+1), where
N is the total number of votes cast. Excess votes over
the quota are appropriately downweighted and allocated to
the next preference of voters. If no candidate reaches the
quota, the candidate with the least number of votes is eliminated
and their votes transferred to next preferences.
Voters in IMS council elections are asked to rank the candidates
1, 2, 3, ..., r until they have no further preference
between candidates. Thus 1 is a voter’s first preference,
2 is their next choice, and so on. There is no disadvantage
to higher candidates in expressing a full list of preferences;
later preferences are only used when the fate of candidates
given higher preferences has been decided one way or the other.
A vote is reckoned as spoiled if the preferences are not numbered
consecutively starting at 1. Apart from the candidates not
numbered at all, no ties are allowed among the numbered preferences.
The fact that voters may not express a full list of preferences
is allowed for by reducing the quota as necessary during the
later stages of the count.
The votes should be entered into a spreadsheet, with the
first row of the spreadsheet containing the names of the candidates
and each subsequent row the votes cast, with blank preferences
being replaced by zeroes. It is advisable to number the ballots
before entering them and to enter the full data twice. This
will allow a check for errors and will also allow a reference
back to the original vote if necessary. Of course it is preferable
for votes to be cast electronically, so that the spreadsheet
can be creted automatically.
Once the votes are all recorded in the spreadsheet, they
should be exported as a tab delimited text file, called, for
the sake of argument, votes.s.
The count is carried out by the S-PLUS
program stv, included as an appendix to this document.
The program needs to be supplied with a filename x
giving the tab-delimited file, for instance
votes.s, in which the data are stored, together with
an argument mcan=the number
of candidates to be elected. Invoking the program stv
with these arguments will then check the validity of the ballots,
eliminate any which are spoiled, and carry out the various
stages of the count. The argument oldcount
(not recommended) allows for a demonstration of what would
have happened with the old method of counting the votes. On
the other hand the argument verbose
displays the various stages at which candidates are elected
or eliminated, and shows how the first preference votes are
redistributed at each stage.
At the end of the process, the program yields a list of the
successful candidates in the order in which they were elected.
The order may be useful, for instance, when an extra member
of Council has to be elected to fill a casual vacancy, in
which case the last candidate to be elected would be in this
position. However, usually it is not appropriate to publish
the list in this order.
The method resolves ties deterministically; if a candidate
is to be elected, the last named member of a tie is chosen.
On the other hand, if there is a tie for elimination, it is
the first named who is eliminated. These choices are aimed
at compensating in a small way for the tendency of candidates
higher up the ballot paper to get more votes.
Bernard Silverman,
b.w.silverman@bristol.ac.uk
August 3, 2002
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